BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Pella Christian

Class: 2A Class Rank: 17 Conference: (10-4) Overall: (20-8) Overall Strength =   70.30

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Home    W    71.17  71   47   3A   59 ( 3-19) Chariton                1.23     22.77                      
  2 12/05/2003 Away    W *  73.06  68   43   4A   48 ( 3-19) Boone                   3.12     21.88                      
  3 12/12/2003 Home    W *  72.70  56   51   3A   15 (19- 8) Norwalk                 2.76      2.24                      
  4 12/16/2003 Home    W    62.62  74   62   2A   78 ( 8-14) Albia                  -7.32     19.32                      
  5 12/19/2003 Away    W *  75.24  54   45   3A   23 (12-11) Waukee                  5.30      3.70                      
  6 01/02/2004 Away    L    69.80  47   58   2A    2 (27- 0) Monroe PCM             -0.14    -10.86                      
  7 01/06/2004 Away    L *  59.17  41   52   3A   18 (15- 9) Pella                 -10.77     -0.23                      
  8 01/09/2004 Home    L *  64.85  55   58   4A   34 (14- 8) Oskaloosa              -5.09      2.09                      
  9 01/16/2004 Home    W *  74.87  86   62   3A   55 ( 3-19) Knoxville               4.93     19.07                      
 10 01/20/2004 Away    W *  82.89  71   65   3A    7 (17- 6) Grinnell               12.95     -6.95                      
 11 01/23/2004 Home    W *  82.32  65   45   3A   23 (12-11) Waukee                 12.38      7.62                      
 12 01/24/2004 Away    L    48.21  48   62   3A   40 (13- 9) Washington            -21.73      7.73                      
 13 01/27/2004 Away    L *  66.62  50   55   3A   15 (19- 8) Norwalk                -3.32     -1.68                      
 14 01/30/2004 Home    W *  61.14  54   37   4A   48 ( 3-19) Boone                  -8.80 *   25.80                      
 15 01/31/2004 Away    W    74.76  49   42   2A   27 (18- 6) Eddyville-Blakesburg    4.81      2.19                      
 16 02/03/2004 Home    W *  73.25  41   34   3A   18 (15- 9) Pella                   3.31      3.69                      
 17 02/06/2004 Away    L *  66.77  60   65   4A   34 (14- 8) Oskaloosa              -3.17     -1.83                      
 18 02/07/2004 Away    W    62.17  54   50   3A   49 ( 6-16) Tama South Tama        -7.77     11.77                      
 19 02/10/2004 Home    W *  73.97  60   59   3A    7 (17- 6) Grinnell                4.03     -3.03                      
 20 02/13/2004 Away    W *  68.79  61   47   3A   55 ( 3-19) Knoxville              -1.15     15.15                      
 21 02/20/2004 Home    W    68.93  77   61   3A   52 ( 8-14) Saydel                 -1.01     17.01                      
 22 02/23/2004 Neutral W    69.35  71   32   2A  124 ( 7-15) Sigourney              -0.59 *   39.59                      
 23 02/26/2004 Away    W    77.70  52   39   2A   49 (19- 4) Montezuma               7.76      5.24                      
 24 03/02/2004 Neutral W    67.80  44   42   2A   27 (18- 6) Eddyville-Blakesburg   -2.15      4.15                      
 25 03/05/2004 Neutral W    54.17  54   53   2A   74 (15-10) Central Lee           -15.78     16.78                      
 26 03/16/2004 Neutral W    79.09  56   53   2A    8 (22- 4) Wapsie Valley           9.14     -6.14                      
 27 03/18/2004 Neutral L    77.80  45   47   2A    4 (26- 2) Fort Dodge St Edmond    7.85     -9.85                      
 28 03/19/2004 Neutral L    79.16  72   78   2A    1 (24- 4) Sioux Center            9.22    -15.22                      
      Averages              69.94  58.4 51.6

Best game:   82.89 = 6 point win over Grinnell
Worst game:  48.21 = 14 point loss to Washington
Team stdev:   8.20